Monthly Release of Selected Data
Category Archives: South African Reserve bank
Retail Deposits at VBS Mutual Bank – 4 July 2018 Media statement
….
C2/2018: Requirements related to a due diligence (DD) audit of the financial condition of a bank
Joint PA and FSCA Communication 2 of 2018 – Cell captive insurance (IA)
Shareholder Index Report as at 30 June 2018
Gross External Debt – First Quarter 2018
Gross External Debt
Global Foreign Exchange Committee meeting held in South Africa
The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) hosted a meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Committee (GFXC) in Johannesburg on 27 June 2018. The GFXC was established in May 2017 as part of the launch of the Global FX Code.
Composite Business Cycle Indicators – June 2018
Composite Business Cycle Indicators
Communication 2 of 2018 – Process for the conversion of registration
Short-lived supply shocks to potential growth
Potential growth, or the non-inflationary rate of growth in output, is generally viewed as a slow-moving and smooth process. This implies that all the sudden changes in real gross domestic product (GDP), regardless of origin, are reflected in the output gap. There are, however, short-lived supply shocks. Recent examples include the platinum-sector strike of 2014 and the drought of 2015/16 that are more accurately identified as temporary shifts in potential growth. We update the South African Reserve Bank’s current, finance-neutral, estimates of potential growth to account for these short-lived supply shocks. We compare the supply shocks, that should shift potential growth rather than the output gap generated from the model, to a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. The resulting output gap more accurately reflects a measure of demand pressures in the economy at any given point in time. The output gap is not as wide as previously estimated after 2015.